That the Eagle rebound should be v-shaped is no more obvious than the connection between the test team and USARFU's overall health.
Playing short-handed for more than 50 minutes, the US fell 41-18 to Canada Saturday in Edmonton, six tries to two. Following a pair of wins over Georgia and the Maple Leafs, the lopsided match revealed an US XV that is not yet consistently accurate in the setpiece and other primary objectives, thus limiting offensive thrust.
Defeat in the second of two World Cup qualifying matches concedes Canada a berth in pool A and consigns the Eagles to face Uruguay in another two-game series, expected to be contested this November. Presuming Eddie O'Sullivan's improving charges handle the Teros, the US would have to win two of three matches against Australia, Ireland, and Italy in order to reach the 2011 quarterfinals -- suggesting the seventh World Cup will not spark rugby's epiphany among mainstream sports fans.
Just as this winter's decision to set aside Commonwealth-style 'professionalization' has been salutary for the 2009 Eagles, so USARFU might be advised to rethink its 'top down' plan for advancing on all fronts, from outsized growth in playing numbers to revenue that falls to the bottom line.
2009's player registration advanced at a rate level with the start of the decade, but no more. With test-match attendance having fallen sharply through this year's six-game home schedule, it is evident that International Rugby Board grants and the increased dues intake, as well as the short-term National Guard pact, are vital to the budget's reported increase to $8-plus million from $4 million.
Yet if the union cannot pay for the best of the collegians, who make up more than one-third of dues payers and this year contributed six newcomers to the senior national squad, then the link between the 'grassroots' and the test team is both quantitatively and qualitatively broken.
With another dollop of rookies such 2008 All-American skipper Kevin Swiryn, over the next two seasons the Eagles could aspire to fully recovering ground lost over the past four years' 6-24 campaigning. But the gains evident in the spring-summer season are more attributable to focused coaching and players charged to excel, rather than lament something they are not.
If the 2009 edition to date has done what it can with what it has, then Edmonton confirmed confirmed that playing catchup is something the US has rarely been able to afford.
Unlike Charleston, when the US resisted early Canadian pressure, Saturday's match saw the US concede three first-half tries, two after Paul Emerick's dismissal, leaving Todd Clever's charges trailing 24-0 -- 18 points adrift in the aggregate scoring that determines World Cup qualification. Fourth-quarter scores to Swiryn and the skipper showed that a side capable of making its mark on a game, if not quite drawing close enough for respectability or an end to the 12-match road losing streak.
'We let the game get away from us early on and struggled to keep shape. We played better in the second half, but by that point we were chasing the game and forcing things a bit,' coach O'Sullivan said in a prepared statement.
Fall matches against Uruguay and Fiji are expected to succeed October's Americas Rugby Championship.
Canada 41, United States 18 (halftime: Canada 24-0)
United States
Tries: Kevin Swiryn, Todd Clever
Conversion: Mike Hercus
Penalties: Mike Hercus (2)
Chris Wyles; Takudzwa Ngwenya, Paul Emerick (dismissed), Roland Suniula (Salesi Sika), Kevin Swiryn; Mike Hercus (Ata Malifa), Tim Usasz (Mike Petri); Matekitonga Moeakiola (Mike MacDonald), Chris Biller (Joe Welch), Shawn Pittman, John van der Giessen, Hayden Smith (Alec Parker), Louis Stanfill, Todd Clever (captain), Nic Johnson (JJ Gagiano)
Canada
Tries: James Pritchard, Adam Kleeberger, Justin Mensah-Coker, Ed Fairhurst, DTH van der Merwe, Matt Evans
Conversions: James Pritchard (4)
Penalty: James Pritchard
James Pritchard; Matt Evans, DTH van der Merwe, Ryan Smith, Justin Mensah-Coker; Ander Monro, Ed Fairhurst; Kevin Tkachuk, Pat Riordan (captain), Dan Pletch, Mike Burak, Tyler Hotson, Jebb Sinclair, Nanyak Dala, Adam Kleeberger. Replacements unavailable.
Referee: Alan Lewis (Ireland)
Attendance: not available